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Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 FY25 delivered modest top-line upside and stronger profitability: revenue $1.214B (+7.1% YoY) and diluted EPS $0.58 (+11.5% YoY), with EPS and revenue slightly ahead of S&P Global consensus; first positive comp since 4Q22 (+0.4%) driven by mix and category strength in wood and better/best tiers . Q2 EPS beat consensus $0.556* and revenue beat $1.209B*; Adjusted EBITDA $150.2M (+9.7% YoY) . Values marked with * from S&P Global.
- Gross margin expanded ~60 bps to 43.9% on lower supply chain costs, offsetting SG&A deleverage from new stores; operating margin rose 50 bps to 6.8% .
- FY25 guidance tightened: revenue $4.66–$4.75B (upper bound trimmed), comps -2% to flat (upper bound lowered), EPS $1.75–$2.00 (low end raised), Adj. EBITDA $520–$550M (upper bound trimmed), capex cut to $280–$320M; Q2 gross margin likely the high quarter for the year given distribution center (DC) startup headwinds (60–70 bps for FY) .
- Near-term watch items: Q3-to-date comps -1% and management expects Q3 to be the peak quarter at the high end of comp guidance; tariff mitigation strategy (vendor negotiations, sourcing diversification, surgical pricing) remains central to preserving margins; Pro and Design Services momentum continues to support mix and gross margin .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Gross margin execution: Q2 gross margin 43.9% (+~60 bps YoY) on lower supply chain costs; operating margin +50 bps to 6.8% and Adjusted EBITDA +9.7% YoY to $150.2M .
- Mix and category strength: wood and better/best tiers outperformed, lifting average ticket (+3.8%) despite transactions -3.3%; connected customer penetration ~19% and Pro ~50% of sales .
- Management focus and tone: “diluted earnings per share increased by 11.5% to $0.58…reaching the high end of our expectations…first quarterly [comp] increase since Q4 FY22,” highlighting disciplined execution amid macro/tariff complexity .
What Went Wrong
- Traffic and cadence: comparable transactions -3.3% with comps positive in April (+1.7%) and May (+0.6%) but negative in June (-0.8%); hurricane lap contributed to volatility; Q3-to-date comps down 1% .
- SG&A deleverage from new stores: selling & store operating expenses +10.2% YoY and +90 bps as % of sales; ERP and growth investments pressuring G&A despite leverage vs sales .
- FY25 margin headwinds: management reiterated DC-related gross margin drag of 60–70 bps; also flagged potential slight tariff pressure despite mitigation actions; Q2 likely the high GM quarter for FY25 .
Financial Results
P&L highlights (QoQ/YoY progression)
Multi-quarter comps and profitability context
Q2 2025 actuals vs S&P Global consensus
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key KPIs and operating metrics
Non-GAAP note: Adjusted EBITDA excludes non-cash stock-based comp and other items; see reconciliation in the release .
Guidance Changes
Management color: FY25 gross margin expected ~43.5%–43.7% with Q2 the high-water mark; DC startups drive 60–70 bps annual GM headwind; SG&A (store) ~31.5%–32%; G&A ~6% incl. ~$9M ERP; pre-opening ~0.6% .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO Tom Taylor: “Our diluted earnings per share increased by 11.5% to $0.58…Our second quarter comparable store sales increased by 0.4%, marking the first quarterly increase since the fourth quarter of fiscal 2022.”
- Tariff strategy: “We continue to rely on our dedicated Tariff Steering Committee… guiding alignment on our top priorities… leveraging our experience and scale… to navigate today’s uncertainty” .
- Pricing philosophy: “We will continue to adjust our retail prices both upward and downward as needed… while maintaining our pricing gaps and reinforcing our everyday low price message.” .
- CFO Brian Langley: “Gross margin rate… rose to 43.9% primarily due to lower supply chain cost… Q2 adjusted EBITDA margin 12.4%, +~30 bps YoY… we estimate our second quarter gross margin rate… will represent the high quarter for the year.” .
- President Brad Paulsen: “Design services… delivers significantly higher average ticket and substantially higher gross margin rates… we’re continuing to invest in our design talent.” .
Q&A Highlights
- Pricing/tariffs: Ticket growth in Q2 was largely mix (wood, better/best); pricing moves were modest; back-half price increases expected but “surgical,” maintaining price gaps; competitors (independents) took more pricing earlier due to necessity .
- Comps trajectory: At high end of guide, 2H comps low-single-digit positive with Q3 the peak; low end assumes sequential deceleration; Q3-to-date comps -1% .
- 2026 setup: Too early to react to 2026 consensus; benefits from maturing stores, tariff pricing, easier laps possible; macro remains the swing factor .
- Gross margin long-term: Multiple positives (mix up-trade, design services, sourcing) vs headwinds (commercial mix, new adjacencies); no ultimate GM target but potential to trend higher after burning off DC headwinds .
- Commercial (Spartan): Sector mix pivot driving momentum; June a record month; investing in sales team with FY25 EBIT likely flat vs FY24 .
Estimates Context
- Q2 FY25 vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $1,214.2M vs $1,208.9M*; EPS $0.58 vs $0.556*; EBITDA $141.2M (GAAP) vs $146.9M*. EPS and revenue slightly beat; EBITDA under consensus, noting estimate compares to EBITDA not Adjusted EBITDA . Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
- FY25 consensus: Revenue ~$4,684.8M*, EPS ~$1.90* vs company guidance $4.66–$4.75B and $1.75–$2.00, respectively; guidance brackets consensus on both metrics*. Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
- Q3 FY25 snapshot: Consensus revenue ~$1,175.6M*, EPS ~$0.454*; management indicates Q3 should be peak comp quarter at high end of guide, but also notes hurricane lap pressure in Q4* . Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix-led quality beat: Modest revenue upside with stronger profitability on gross margin execution; EPS beat despite traffic softness; focus on wood/better-best mix, Pro and Design Services is working .
- Guidance prudent but cleaner: Narrowed revenue range (upper bound trimmed), higher EPS low end, lower capex; Q2 gross margin likely the peak for the year due to DC start-up drag; consensus sits near the midpoint .
- Near-term trading watch: Q3-to-date comps (-1%) and the monthly cadence suggest choppiness; any signs of accelerating comps, tariff pass-through, or GM resilience could be upside catalysts; conversely, DC drag/tariff slippage or weaker transactions are risks .
- Structural strengths: Direct global sourcing scale, price leadership, and expanding service moat (Design Services, Pro) position FND to take share from independents and big-box peers, particularly as tariffs pressure smaller competitors .
- Medium-term thesis: As housing activity stabilizes and existing home sales recover from the trough, maturing cohorts and operating leverage should lift margins and EPS; management reiterates pathway to mid-teens EBITDA longer term (store-level economics remain strong) .
- Commercial optionality: Spartan sector pivot gaining traction; though FY25 EBIT roughly flat, execution sets up multi-year growth as national coverage scales .
- Capital allocation discipline: Reduced capex and controlled SG&A through the downturn increase flow-through sensitivity as sales improve; robust liquidity supports continued store growth at a measured pace .